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THIRD QUARTER/NINE MONTH 2007 FINANCIAL RESULTS

(In accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards)

Solid 3Q performance in a weaker environment: Net Ιncome more than doubles to €84m

3Q 2007 Reported Consolidated Net Income increased 109% y-o-y to €84m and 9M Net Income grew 23% to €265m, corresponding to €0.27 and €0.87 per share (EPS), respectively. Adjusting for inventory effects, “Clean” Net Income was up 3% y-o-y to €226m in 9M, but down 18% to €82m in 3Q. Reported Group Earnings before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA) increased 3% to €444m in 9M; on a comparable, “Clean” basis, they were lower by 11% to €392m.
 
Key financials for the 9-month period to 30 September 2007 and comparisons to last year’s results, are:
  • Sales Revenue                 €5.9bn, down 3% (3Q: €2.1bn, up 5%)
  • Net Income                       €265m, up 23% (3Q: €84m, up 109%)
  • Earnings per share           €0.87, up 23% (3Q: €0.27, up 109%)
  • “Clean” EBITDA             €392m, down 11% (3Q: €132m, down 30%)
  • “Clean” Net Income         €226m, up 3% (3Q: €82m, down 18%)
  • ROΑCE (12-mth trailing)  10%
  • ROE (12-mth trailing)        11%
 Key themes for 3Q/9M results were:

a) Weakening refining environment
  • After the exceptional strength in May, Mediterranean benchmark refining margins weakened   significantly, with the 3Q blended benchmark refining margin down by $2.5/bbl over the previous quarter and $0.8/bbl lower versus 3Q06. However, in 9M07 the blended benchmark refining margin was 2% higher y-o-y.
  • During 3Q, the EUR strengthened further against the USD, with an adverse translation effect on refining margins and, thus, profitability. However, weakness in the USD positively affected the revaluation of USD-denominated loans, resulting in €16m currency gains.
  • Still growing Greek products market (excluding seasonal heating Gasoil sales) by 0.9%, on the back of strong automotive diesel and aviation fuel sales. Heating gasoil sales down 14% due to warmer winter, while gasolines were flat.
  • In 3Q, crude oil prices continued their ascent, moving by an average $6/bbl over 2Q07, leading to a positive inventory effect. In contrast, the sharp fall in crude oil prices led to inventory losses of €85m in 3Q06.
b) Improving profitability
  • In the absence of last year’s inventory losses, 9M reported EBITDA increased by 3% to €444m (3Q at €135m, up 32%); “Clean” EBITDA was down 11% to €392m (3Q at €132m, 30% lower).
  • Net Income grew 23% to €265m in 9M (3Q at €84m, up 109%). On a comparable, “Clean” basis, Net Income increased by 3% y-o-y to €226m in the respective period.
  • Free cash flow (FCF) reached €282m, driven by improvements in working capital needs.
  • Net Income boosted by FX gains, stronger DEPA-related income and a lower tax rate; 9M reported EPS increased by 23% to €0.87 (3Q at €0.27, up 109%), while “Clean” EPS was up 3% to €0.74 (3Q at €0.26, down 18%).
Key business developments for 3Q/9M:
 
a) Refining, Supply & Trading

Refining, Supply & Trading, accounted for almost 80% of 9M07 Group EBITDA. Reported EBITDA was up 1% to €342m in 9M, while ”Clean” EBITDA was down 16% to €290m.
 
Key drivers during 9M07 were:
  • An improved product mix and higher sales volumes (particularly in “white” products) in Greece mitigated part of the weakness in benchmark refining margins in 3Q.
  • OKTA sales volume grew 4%, on the back of a strong domestic market.
  • As expected, profitability was adversely affected by the planned, 3-week turnaround of the Aspropyrgos refinery in 1Q, lower heating gasoil sales and strengthening of the EUR versus the USD.

The refinery upgrades of Elefsina and Thessaloniki are proceeding as planned, with contracting strategies finalised and implementation progressing.
 
b) Retail Marketing

Retail marketing accounted for 13% of 9M07 Group EBITDA. EBITDA was flat y-o-y, amounting to €58m.

Key drivers during 9M07 were:
  • EKO sales volume in Greece were up 6% to 3.1m tonnes, with volumes in the seasonally strong 3Q increasing by 12% to 1.2m tonnes. Building on the solid performance of 1H07, sales of gasoline and diesel in 3Q were up 14% and 5%, respectively.
  • Improved margin performance and market share gains in Greece in 3Q, compared to 1H.
  • Network rationalisation in the domestic market continued, with company-controlled petrol stations accounting for 21% of the total network, versus 17% in 3Q06. 
  • Continuous rollout of network in key foreign markets (Bulgaria and Serbia), which, together with improvements in average throughputs, led to a 17% increase in volume sales abroad.
    – Further margin improvements in International Marketing; EBITDA increased 36% to €26m.
c) Petrochemicals

The continued strength of the polypropylene business, together with cost containment efforts, led to a sharp improvement in profitability; in 9M, sales volume increased 3% to 330kT and EBITDA raced ahead 56% to €48m.
 
d) Power Generation & Trading

Power generation sales continued their upward march in 3Q and, thus, 9M07 total sales were up 3% y-o-y to 1,320GWh. With T-Power’s spark spread improving 37% in 9M07, turnover and EBITDA in the same period grew 9% to €102m and 26% to €25m, respectively.
 

Panos E. Cavoulacos, CEO of Hellenic Petroleum, commented:
“In a weak environment due to strength of the EUR and weakness in benchmark refining margins, we posted a solid performance in 3Q07. Our relentless focus on commercial performance and a tight grip on costs, together with further expansion of our international footprint, delivered once again strong results.”

 
Key Financial Indicators for the Group are shown below:

HELLENIC PETROLEUM GROUP
 CONSOLIDATED KEY FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE NINE- AND THREE-MONTH PERIOD ENDED 30 SEPTEMBER 2007
(Prepared in accordance with IFRS)

€ million

9M06

9M07

% Δ

 

3Q06

3Q07

% Δ

Reported

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Sales

6,127

5,913

-3%

 

2,023

2,116

5%

EBITDA

432

444

3%

 

102

135

32%

EBT

315

352

12%

 

60

110

83%

Net Income

215

265

23%

 

40

84

109%

EPS (€)

0.70

0.87

23%

 

0.13

0.27

109%

“Clean” (adjusted for inventory effects)

EBITDA

439

392

-11%

 

188

132

-30%

EBT

322

300

-7%

 

145

107

-26%

Net Income

220

226

3%

 

100

82

-18%

EPS (€)

0.72

0.74

3%

 

0.32

0.26

-18%

Balance Sheet Items

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Capital Employed

3,364

3,421

2%

 

-

-

-

Net Debt

1,010

923

-9%

 

-

-

-

Debt Gearing (D/D+E)

30%

28%

-

 

-

-

-